Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eibar in this match.
0.11) 
-0.05) 
