SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Eibar |
33% ( 0.11) | 29.7% ( -0.05) | 37.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.78% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.15) | 64.27% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% ( 0.11) | 83.37% ( -0.11) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.16) | 36.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% ( 0.17) | 72.81% ( -0.17) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0.03) | 33.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( 0.04) | 69.72% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.29% |
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