SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Eibar |
27.5% ( 0.07) | 27.76% ( 0) | 44.74% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.58% ( 0.02) | 59.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.2% ( 0.02) | 79.79% ( -0.02) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.38% ( 0.07) | 37.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.61% ( 0.07) | 74.39% ( -0.07) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -0.03) | 26.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( -0.04) | 61.65% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.74% |
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