Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 1-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.63) 
0.04) 
