SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Eibar |
23.79% ( 0.22) | 29.11% ( 0.15) | 47.1% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 39.83% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.3) | 65.64% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.66% ( -0.21) | 84.34% ( 0.2) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.04) | 44.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( 0.03) | 80.55% ( -0.04) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.34) | 28.21% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( -0.43) | 63.91% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.79% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 15.89% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 47.09% |
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