Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
