Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.