Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 43.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.