SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Tenerife |
| 34.94% | 29.61% | 35.45% |
| Both teams to score 43.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.15% | 63.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.92% | 83.08% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.83% | 71.17% |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% | 34.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.94% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.45% |
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