SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Villarreal II |
53% ( 0.2) | 25.77% ( -0.08) | 21.24% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.05% ( 0.16) | 56.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( 0.13) | 77.86% ( -0.13) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.15) | 21.56% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.36% ( 0.23) | 54.64% ( -0.23) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.04) | 42.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% ( -0.03) | 78.47% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 52.99% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.24% |
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