Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.16%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.