SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal II in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Alaves |
36.39% ( 1.86) | 28.86% ( 0.03) | 34.75% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 45.25% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% ( -0.09) | 61.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( -0.06) | 81.26% ( 0.06) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( 1.17) | 32.19% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.32% ( 1.31) | 68.67% ( -1.32) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -1.27) | 33.26% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( -1.42) | 69.88% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.74% |
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