Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal II in this match.
1.86) 
-1.89) 
