Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 38.7%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.