Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Mirandes win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.