Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 34.51%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.84%) and 1-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (13.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.