Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
