Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Cartagena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Cartagena |
31.78% ( -0.48) | 29.56% ( 0.32) | 38.66% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.94) |
| 36.01% ( -1.09) | 63.98% ( 1.09) |
| 16.83% ( -0.78) | 83.17% ( 0.78) |
| 63.23% ( -0.95) | 36.77% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.44% ( -0.97) | 73.56% ( 0.97) |
| 67.88% ( -0.45) | 32.12% ( 0.46) |
