Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
-0.94) 
0.02) 
