SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Las Palmas |
23.4% ( -0.94) | 27.52% ( 0.02) | 49.08% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 43.27% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.71) | 61.07% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% ( -0.54) | 81.05% ( 0.54) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -1.31) | 42.24% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -1.15) | 78.64% ( 1.15) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.12) | 25.09% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( 0.16) | 59.78% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.4% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 14.65% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.33)1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 49.07% |
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