SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Las Palmas |
25.5% ( 0.24) | 28.58% ( 0.13) | 45.92% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 42.42% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.9% ( -0.28) | 63.1% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.46% ( -0.21) | 82.54% ( 0.2) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.05) | 41.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( 0.04) | 77.92% ( -0.05) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.33) | 27.59% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% ( -0.42) | 63.11% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 14.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.91% |
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