Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Gijon | Draw | Las Palmas |
26.87% ( 0.64) | 27.99% ( 0.71) | 45.14% ( -1.35) |
Both teams to score 44.85% ( -1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.48% ( -2.08) | 60.52% ( 2.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.37% ( -1.6) | 80.63% ( 1.6) |
Sporting Gijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% ( -0.61) | 38.75% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% ( -0.58) | 75.49% ( 0.58) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -1.63) | 26.77% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( -2.2) | 62.05% ( 2.19) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Gijon | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.87% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 13.67% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.13% |
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