Only 18th-placed Venezia have conceded more shots on target than Empoli's total of 162 in Serie A this season, so an opportunity surely presents itself for Milan to stretch their lead in the standings. The hosts' scoring rate may have dipped in recent weeks, but Leao and Giroud have been in impressive form, with 'King Zlatan' also bringing his charismatic presence to bear on the bench. Therefore, Empoli's winless run will roll on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
66.57%	19.47%	13.95%

Both teams to score 50.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1%

42.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7%

65.29%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01%

11.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.59%

37.41%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.38%

42.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.03%

78.96%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 66.56%

Empoli 13.95%

Draw 19.47%

AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 11.49% 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.96% 5-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.47% Total : 66.56%	1-1 @ 9.24% 0-0 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.47%	0-1 @ 4.36% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.95%