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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
San Siro
IL

AC Milan
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Kjaer (12'), Saelemaekers (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (5', 57'), Lukaku (66')
Hakimi (22')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
32.34%23.44%44.21%
Both teams to score 62.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75%39.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42%61.58%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12%23.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92%58.08%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94%49.06%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 32.34%
    Inter Milan 44.21%
    Draw 23.44%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 7.58%
1-0 @ 6.2%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-1 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 44.21%

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