Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
