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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
FL

Atalanta
3 - 0
Fiorentina

Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
57.4%21.51%21.09%
Both teams to score 58.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33%39.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97%62.03%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36%13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19%40.8%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63%32.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12%68.88%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.4%
    Fiorentina 21.09%
    Draw 21.51%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 6.56%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.27%
4-0 @ 2.9%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 57.4%
1-1 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-1 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 21.09%

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