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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
FL

Roma
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
56.18%21.69%22.13%
Both teams to score 59.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87%39.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54%61.46%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17%13.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8%41.19%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89%31.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57%67.43%
Score Analysis
    Roma 56.18%
    Fiorentina 22.13%
    Draw 21.69%
RomaDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 5.55%
3-2 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-0 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 22.13%


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