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ML
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 at 2pm UK
San Siro
FL

AC Milan
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
60.48%20.59%18.93%
Both teams to score 58.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48%38.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19%60.81%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64%12.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8%38.2%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19%33.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52%70.48%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.48%
    Fiorentina 18.93%
    Draw 20.59%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 6.9%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.61%
4-0 @ 3.33%
4-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-1 @ 4.53%
0-2 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 18.93%


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