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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
IL

Atalanta
0 - 0
Inter Milan


de Roon (37'), Luis Palomino (84')
FT

Brozovic (42'), Calhanoglu (62')

We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Inter Milan

Atalanta rarely sit back against the top sides, and Inter have opened the scoring more often than any other team in Serie A this season - on 16 occasions - so this enticing encounter could be explosive right from the kickoff. Therefore, a repeat of the scoreline the pair produced in a thunderous first meeting of the season a few months ago is in prospect - with a score draw the likeliest result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
39.57%23.74%36.69%
Both teams to score 62.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39%39.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04%61.96%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35%52.66%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 39.57%
    Inter Milan 36.69%
    Draw 23.73%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-1 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.69%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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