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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
CL

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Cagliari

Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Cagliari

Cagliari may have stiffened their resolve of late - conceding only twice in their last three outings - but are set to be picked apart by a superior attacking force when they visit San Siro. As Inter continue their defence of the championship in free-scoring style, it will be a matter of 'how many?' rather than 'if' for a dominant home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.54%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 3.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 4-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
86.54%9.48%3.98%
Both teams to score 40.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.57%29.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.47%50.53%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.44%4.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.36%18.64%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.91%57.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.91%89.09%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 86.54%
    Cagliari 3.98%
    Draw 9.48%
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
3-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 12.42%
4-0 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 7.17%
2-1 @ 6.96%
5-0 @ 6.11%
4-1 @ 5.54%
5-1 @ 3.42%
6-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.01%
6-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.55%
7-0 @ 1.39%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 86.54%
1-1 @ 4.51%
0-0 @ 2.6%
2-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 9.48%
0-1 @ 1.46%
1-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 3.98%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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