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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
GL

Benevento
2 - 0
Genoa

Insigne (57'), Sau (89' pen.)
Caprari (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bani (13'), Goldaniga (67'), Masiello (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawGenoa
44.49%24.74%30.77%
Both teams to score 56.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04%45.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.73%68.27%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27%20.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65%53.35%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86%28.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18%63.82%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 44.49%
    Genoa 30.77%
    Draw 24.73%
BeneventoDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.77%

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