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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
ML

Genoa
2 - 2
AC Milan

Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawAC Milan
11.2%17.26%71.53%
Both teams to score 49.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.4%39.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05%61.94%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.08%44.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13%80.86%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21%9.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.46%32.54%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 11.2%
    AC Milan 71.52%
    Draw 17.26%
GenoaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 3.52%
2-1 @ 3.27%
2-0 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 11.2%
1-1 @ 8.18%
0-0 @ 4.4%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 17.26%
0-2 @ 11.87%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 9.2%
1-3 @ 7.36%
0-4 @ 5.35%
1-4 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-5 @ 2.48%
1-5 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-6 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 71.52%

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