Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
