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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
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Bologna
2 - 2
Atalanta

Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Bologna win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
18.87%19.41%61.72%
Both teams to score 62.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09%32.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38%54.62%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26%66.74%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66%10.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.2%33.8%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 18.87%
    Atalanta BC 61.72%
    Draw 19.41%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 5.04%
1-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.26%
2-0 @ 2.22%
3-1 @ 2%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 18.87%
1-1 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-3 @ 6.15%
2-3 @ 4.33%
1-4 @ 4.14%
0-4 @ 3.49%
2-4 @ 2.46%
1-5 @ 1.88%
0-5 @ 1.58%
2-5 @ 1.12%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 61.72%

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