Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Bologna win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.