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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
BL

Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna

N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
40.13%24.74%35.13%
Both teams to score 58.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37%44.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01%66.99%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8%22.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39%55.61%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.41%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.13%
    Bologna 35.13%
    Draw 24.73%
SpeziaDrawBologna
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.13%

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