Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
