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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
CL

Bologna
1 - 0
Crotone

Soriano (45+2')
Hickey (30'), Palacio (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Petriccione (15'), Marrone (19'), Magallan (58'), Luperto (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawCrotone
41.18%24.5%34.32%
Both teams to score 59.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.33%43.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.94%66.06%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79%54.21%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.43%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 41.18%
    Crotone 34.32%
    Draw 24.5%
BolognaDrawCrotone
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.32%


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