Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
