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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
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Atalanta
5 - 0
Bologna

Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
67.97%17.73%14.29%
Both teams to score 57.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21%33.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.37%55.63%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9%9.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.08%30.92%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.97%
    Bologna 14.29%
    Draw 17.73%
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 7.68%
3-0 @ 7.59%
4-1 @ 4.61%
4-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.89%
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 2.18%
5-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 67.97%
1-1 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 4.87%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.73%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-1 @ 3.35%
0-2 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.29%

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