Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
