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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
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Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta


Carboni (5'), Pisacane (44'), Nandez (70')
Carboni (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muriel (27' pen.)
Luis Palomino (62'), Hateboer (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-3 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
12.98%15.81%71.22%
Both teams to score 61.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.84%27.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.3%47.7%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44%33.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79%70.21%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.23%6.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.98%25.02%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 12.98%
    Atalanta BC 71.22%
    Draw 15.81%
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.65%
1-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.79%
2-0 @ 1.36%
3-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 12.98%
1-1 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 4.91%
0-0 @ 2.27%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.81%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 8.08%
0-3 @ 7.4%
0-1 @ 6.12%
1-4 @ 5.44%
0-4 @ 4.98%
2-3 @ 4.41%
2-4 @ 2.97%
1-5 @ 2.93%
0-5 @ 2.68%
2-5 @ 1.6%
1-6 @ 1.31%
0-6 @ 1.2%
3-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 71.22%


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