Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-3 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.