Empoli have proved themselves to be a competitive outfit, despite their lack of wins, and they fought gamely to deny a superior Torino side last week. As a more defensively sound unit this term, they can now frustrate their in-form opponents and bring Monza's magnificent win-streak to an end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
