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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
EL

Juventus
4 - 0
Empoli

Kean (8'), McKennie (56'), Rabiot (82', 90+4')
Cuadrado (36'), Rabiot (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Satriano (58'), Haas (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Saturday, October 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Empoli

Both of these sides' league games this season have only averaged exactly two goals per game, so it is hard to envisage either goalkeeper being too busy on Friday. We can see Juventus recording another narrow victory to move themselves one place upwards in the table, with their 3-5-2 formation appearing to suit their key personnel much better than 4-4-2. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawEmpoli
68.03% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 18.54% (0.029 0.03) 13.42% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)39.81% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)62.17% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)34.65% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.55% (0.030999999999999 0.03)41.44% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)77.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 68.02%
    Empoli 13.42%
    Draw 18.54%
JuventusDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2%
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 68.02%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Saturday, October 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-3 AC Milan
Saturday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Roma
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Empoli
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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