SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
20.01% ( 0.31) | 21.94% ( 0) | 58.04% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.89% ( 0.42) | 43.11% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.49% ( 0.41) | 65.51% ( -0.41) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% ( 0.56) | 35.38% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% ( 0.58) | 72.14% ( -0.58) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( 0.04) | 14.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( 0.07) | 42.64% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.01% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.04% |
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