Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.