SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Torino |
37.75% ( 0.13) | 27.69% ( 0.05) | 34.56% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.19) | 57.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.16) | 78% ( 0.15) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.02) | 29.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( -0.02) | 65.19% ( 0.02) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.22) | 31.22% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.25) | 67.56% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.56% |
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