Among teams inside the top half of the Serie A table, Fiorentina and Torino have the worst shot conversion rates - both less than 9% - so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Both sides lack an in-form finisher, so expect a close-fought affair at the Franchi.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.49) 
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