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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
SL

Empoli
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Ebuehi (55')
Parisi (41'), Marin (71'), Ismajli (85'), Stojanovic (90'), Vicario (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leris (6'), Vieira (29'), Gabbiadini (31'), Sabiri (90+5'), Audero (90+12'), Duricic (90+12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Empoli
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Empoli 2-0 Sampdoria

Empoli have found form at a good time and look set to move away from trouble, but their recent poor record against Samp may linger in the memory. The visitors need to find results from somewhere or they will soon find themselves an unassailable distance away from safety, and a defeat here could be very costly for Stankovic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Empoli.

Result
EmpoliDrawSampdoria
46.83% (0.98 0.98) 26.04% (0.217 0.22) 27.13% (-1.2 -1.2)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-1.499 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.68% (-1.549 -1.55)53.32% (1.549 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-1.33 -1.33)74.86% (1.328 1.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)22.75% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.307 -0.31)56.43% (0.306 0.31)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (-1.762 -1.76)34.61% (1.762 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (-1.914 -1.91)71.33% (1.913 1.91)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 46.83%
    Sampdoria 27.13%
    Draw 26.03%
EmpoliDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.413 0.41)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.468 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Empoli
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-0 Cremonese
Friday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Empoli
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Napoli
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Sampdoria
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, November 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Sampdoria
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Serie A


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