SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
39.53% ( -0.64) | 25.43% ( 0.14) | 35.04% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.56) | 47.8% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( -0.51) | 69.99% ( 0.51) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.57) | 23.9% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.9% ( -0.83) | 58.1% ( 0.83) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( 0.03) | 26.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( 0.04) | 61.52% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
