The last Serie A draw between Roma and Torino was almost seven years ago, but a low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards this week, as both sides have found the net at a rate barely over one-goal-per-game so far.
The Giallorossi have lacked invention since Dybala's departure for the treatment room, so their final Stadio Olimpico appearance of 2022 may prove to be something of a damp squib.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.21) 
0.02) 
