Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Salernitana
60.42% ( -0.31)	21.04% ( 0.08)	18.54% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

0.04)

41.27% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

0.04)

63.67% (

-0.04)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75% (

-0.08)

13.25% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.98% (

-0.16)

40.02% (

0.16)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

0.29)

35.86% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

0.29)

72.64% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 60.42%

Salernitana 18.54%

Draw 21.04%

Frosinone	Draw	Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 60.42%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.54%