Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Frosinone |
24.4% ( -0.21) | 25.74% ( 0.03) | 49.86% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.93% ( -0.29) | 54.07% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.5% ( -0.24) | 75.49% ( 0.24) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( -0.34) | 37.34% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.87% ( -0.34) | 74.12% ( 0.34) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% ( -0.04) | 21.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% ( -0.07) | 54.88% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.4% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.86% |
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