SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
32.13% ( 0.09) | 26.51% ( -0.05) | 41.36% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0.2) | 52.99% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.17) | 74.58% ( -0.17) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.16) | 30.75% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.19) | 67.01% ( -0.19) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.06) | 25.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.96% ( 0.09) | 60.04% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
