The visitors are certainly far from their best, and have been throughout the entirety of the Serie A campaign thus far, but even without their talisman Berardi, Sassuolo do have the superior quality to get past the basement side on Friday and take a huge step towards survival with a return to winning ways on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
0.71) 
-0.95) 
