Neither side is prolific, so this meeting of two up-and-coming coaches could be a tactical affair decided by just one goal. Given the depth of their resources following a summer of spending, Juventus should finally end their Serie A drought, consigning Genoa to a third straight defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Juventus
24.71% ( 0.08)	26.72% ( 0.05)	48.57% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 46.59% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57% (

-0.13)

57.43% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76% (

-0.11)

78.24% (

0.11)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07%

38.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

75.66% (

-0)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

-0.12)

23.71% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

-0.18)

57.84% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Genoa 24.71%

Juventus 48.57%

Draw 26.71%

Genoa	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.71%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.57%